Chief Economist’s Weekly Briefing – Good News?

The UK economy ended the first half of the year on a positive note, performing better than expected. Consumer spending and business investment picked up in the second quarter and firms were resilient to industrial action. Whether this will be the start of a steady recovery, or if the cheer will prove short lived, as higher rates bite, remains to be seen.

Continue reading

Sharpest fall in output since November 2012

Today sees the release of September data from the Ulster Bank Northern Ireland PMI®. The latest report – produced for Ulster Bank by IHS Markit – indicated that the Northern Ireland private sector moved deeper into contraction, as Brexit uncertainty impacted negatively on firms’ operations. Output, new orders and employment all fell at sharper rates, while business sentiment dropped to a new record low.

OCT19 PMI Infographic D1



Continue reading