Chief Economist’s Weekly Briefing – Over the line?

Manufacturing (2).jpgIt wasn’t blockbuster but UK GDP growth was slightly better than expected last quarter, lending a little support to members of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee minded to raise rates this week. But will it be enough to get a rate hike over the line?  We’ll find out lunchtime on Thursday. Continue reading

Chief Economist’s Weekly Briefing – Calling into question

It’s a familiar narrative for the UK. Strong job growth but signs of a weakening consumer on the back of paltry income growth squeezed by higher inflation. Yet markets are convinced the Bank of England is raising rates on 2 November. The latest data suggests the decision will likely be more finely balanced for policy-makers.          Continue reading