We’ve published a new Ulster Economix Podcast episode: Breakthrough, hosted by Richard Ramsey, Chief Economist at Ulster Bank.
You wait ages and then three come along at once. Since March, it has been clear that a highly effective vaccine is required to cope with COVID-19. A sustained and meaningful economic recovery can only take hold if one is found. Following the encouraging news on three potential vaccines hope has returned. First out of the traps was Pfizer and BioNTech successful trials. Their news saw the share price of Zoom & Peloton slump and those of airlines and cruise ships soar.
A fresh round of lockdown restrictions in November and December coupled with the incoming news on the vaccine front has seen economists continue to revise down economic forecasts for 2020 and simultaneously revise up growth expectations for 2021. This doesn’t mean that the sunlit uplands are around the corner.
So what the local economy in Northern Ireland? what is the incoming economic data and news telling us about the economy and the strength of the recovery?